Thursday, November 20, 2014

NDT Scouting 2015 NFL Draft Evaluation - Louisville EDGE Defender Lorenzo Mauldin

This week's public projection goes to Louisville EDGE Defender Lorenzo Mauldin.  It was announced over the past week that Mauldin is among the individuals who accepted an invitation to play in the 2015 Senior Bowl in Mobile, AL.  If you have any requests for next week, you can contact me at the information included in footer below!

*DISCLAIMER* - There are variables of this evaluation that are subject to change! Mauldin's (and all athletic metrics at this point) are based on available estimates/baselines from www.nfldraftscout.com.  They will be amended in February at the NFL Combine or even later for Pro Day results.  This report also operates under the assumption that Mauldin plays in Louisville's remaining games and his statistics are projected using his per game production averages.

With that said, enjoy!


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Thursday, November 13, 2014

NDT Scouting 2015 NFL Draft Evaluation - Colorado State OT Tyler 'Ty' Sambrailo

This week's public projection goes to Colorado State OT Tyler 'Ty' Sambrailo.  Over the last two weeks, I've submitted two Off Ball Linebackers (Hayes Pullard and Denzel Perryman); this week it's time to move over to the offensive side of the football.  If you have any requests for next week, you can contact me at the information included in footer below!

*DISCLAIMER* - There are variables of this evaluation that are subject to change! Sambrailo's (and all athletic metrics at this point) are based on available estimates/baselines from www.nfldraftscout.com.  They will be amended in February at the NFL Combine or even later for Pro Day results.  In addition, this report is operating under the assumption that Sambrailo will play in CSU's remaining games. 

With that said, enjoy!


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Wednesday, November 5, 2014

NDT Scouting 2015 NFL Draft Evaluation - Miami OBLB Denzel Perryman

Last week I released my first 2015 evaluation projection; LB Hayes Pullard of Southern Cal.  This week, another Off Ball Linebacker is available for your viewing pleasure;  please indulge yourself in downloading the attached PDF of my projected evaluation of Miami Hurricanes Off Ball Linebacker Denzel Perryman (thumbnail and download link below).

*DISCLAIMER* - There are variables of this evaluation that are subject to change! Perryman's (and all athletic metrics at this point) are based on available estimates/baselines.  They will be amended in February at the NFL Combine or even later for Pro Day results.  In addition, this report is operating under the assumption that Perryman will play in Miami's remaining games.  If (in Perryman's case) a 'Top Competition' team has not been played under the Production section, his 2014 Top Competition statistics are based and scored on the averages of the games and production he HAS played (18 tackles in 2 games = 9.00 tackles/game).

With that said, enjoy!


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Monday, November 3, 2014

11.1.14 - Wisconsin (37) @ Rutgers (0) - Prospect Summary

Saturday's contest between Wisconsin and Rutgers was a fun experience.  Low 40's, steady rain and the occasional gust of wind had my teeth chattering about 50 steps from the car; but hey, that's B1G football personified, is it not?! This contest didn't quite feature the same caliber of NFL talents as some of the other match ups in college football but it did feature a number of players who were marked for interest (as well as one in particular who got my attention throughout the game).

Wisconsin RB Melvin Gordon (#25) was as good as advertised on Saturday running the football.  Gordon has been a pleasant surprise this year to me in regard to his yards after contact; he has (and did on Saturday) done a much better job sustaining his leg drive upon contact after a spotty 2013.  Gordon doesn't run with an imposing pad level, but he does absorb hits better and sustain forward drive on runs better this season.  Gordon missed a few definitive cuts for chunks of 6-10 yards in favor of trying to break big gains and being limited to shorter gains; but that's part of the process with a home run hitter like Gordon.  His 51 yard touchdown run in the 3rd quarter was every bit of a home run; pressing the line of scrimmage left before overpursuit by the Rutgers defense opened a massive cut back to the right.  Seeing the last wave of Rutgers defenders wash past him on the line of scrimmage, you KNEW he was gone.  Even on a slick field it was Gordon's lightning speed that made the difference, scary to think he'd be even faster on a dry field.  Gordon is a player that still hasn't been terribly involved in the passing game and the Wisconsin backfield rotation limits opportunities as is.  Gordon was targeted twice on Saturday, the first being a drop on a check down and the second a deep wheel route while Wisconsin was up 30-0 and provided the Badgers with quite a scare as Gordon was shaken up on the play, originally coming down with the catch before the play was reviewed and subsequently overturned.  Gordon had appeared to relieve some of those questions regarding his 3 down prospects with an early 4 reception game this year, but in the 6 games since that performance he has just another 4 receptions...so his ability to contribute there remains to be seen.  But the Badgers had no intention to utilize him there on Saturday, so by and large it remains a question mark.  I think Gordon projects well into a zone blocking system where he can press the boundary and cut through lanes as they present themselves (similarly to his 1st TD run of the day; a zone stretch that resulted in a missed tackle in the hole and pay dirt.)

On the other side, Rutgers TE Tyler Kroft (#86) is only a junior (like Gordon) but a much more difficult study and one I wouldn't be surprised to see declare at the end of the season.  Kroft's performance was much better than the 1 reception for 8 yards the box score gives him credit for...and it's just the latest example of why you don't make conclusions based on the stat report.  Kroft regularly worked Wisconsin linebackers in coverage, getting on top of them in a hurry and subtly bumping them on his break.  But Rutgers QB Gary Nova refused to get him the football (in part to poor pass protection and also in part to Nova's lack of field vision).  I counted 4 open windows to throw to Kroft working the middle of the field in the 1st Quarter alone, to no avail.  I like Kroft as an inline complimentary TE as things stand now; I don't see the fluidity in space or the imposing ability to collapse the POA in the run game to suggest he's going to be an every down TE.  He does engage well in blocks, but he doesn't sustain consistently and as a result defenders are able to pull off of his blocks without terrible amounts of exertion.  Much more of a receiver than a blocker, Kroft shows enough ability to suggest he'll be contributing on passing downs to an NFL team in the future.  With the struggles of the Scarlet Knights in their transition to the B1G Conference and the issues they're currently having offensively, I can't say I'd be too surprised if this year was Kroft's last at the collegiate level.

The rain held back Rutgers WR Leonte Carroo (#4) in similar fashion; it was an ugly affair trying to pass the football.  Carroo has become a popular name with some explosive plays this season and had posted over 400 receiving yards in his previous 4 contests...but there was little for me to take away from his performance on a slick, wet field on Saturday.

The surprising name for me was Rutgers Defensive Lineman Darius Hamilton (#91).  Hamilton was an absolute monster at the line of scrimmage for much of the game; consistently providing penetration and shedding blocks to provide tough sledding for Gordon early on in the game.  Hamilton, it should be noted, is listed as a DL because despite a listed weight of 255; he's playing mostly on the interior of the line.  I was impressed with Hamilton's lateral agility and block shedding...but one person I spoke with whom had some familiarity with the program said Hamilton has expressed an interest at staying as an interior defensive lineman.  That may fly in the B1G Conference, but if Hamilton's aspirations are to play interior gaps long term he's going to have a hell of a time adding weight and sustaining his current level of agility.  In the long run I think Hamilton's best bet is going to be on the edge; he's certainly a good enough athlete to succeed there.  He's got great short area quickness and is built thick.

Wednesday, October 29, 2014

NDT Scouting 2015 NFL Draft Evaluation - USC OBLB Hayes Pullard

The 2015 NFL Draft season has been fruitful for many, myself included.  I've taken the opportunity to overhaul, streamline and further clarify my scouting report formats, with much satisfaction.  Please indulge yourself in downloading the attached PDF of my projected evaluation of Southern Cal Off Ball Linebacker Hayes Pullard (link below).

*DISCLAIMER* - There are variables of this evaluation that are subject to change!  Pullard (and all athletic metrics at this point) was based on available estimates/baselines.  They will be amended in February at the NFL Combine or even later for Pro Day results.  In addition, this report is operating under the assumption that Pullard will play in USC's remaining games.  If (in Pullard's case) a 'Top Competition' team has not been played under the Production section, Pullard's 2014 Top Competition statistics are based and scored on the averages of the games and production he HAS played (16 tackles in 2 games = 8.00 tackles/game).

With that said, enjoy!

Did you enjoy this report?  Be sure to visit www.ndtscouting.com to stay up to date with all of our latest content and follow us on Twitter; @NDTScouting!

Monday, October 20, 2014

10.18.14 - Baylor (27) @ West Virginia (41) - Baylor Prospect Summary

Quarterback Bryce Petty (#14) would like to have this one back.  The Baylor signal caller left multiple touchdowns on the field by virtue of his Jekyll and Hyde vertical passing.  While Petty did draw and audible 'wow' from me on his gorgeous toss down the right sideline to freshman WR KD Cannon (#9) (and as if a perfect symbol of the day the Bears had on Saturday, Cannon dropped the ball), I lost track of the number of vertical shots Petty had against 1 on 1 coverage that were overthrown by 3-5 yards.  Saturday felt simply like a matter of Murphy's Law for the Bears in Morgantown.  Typically sure handed WR Levi Norwood (#42) also dropped passes.  Media favorite Defensive End Shawn Oakman (#2) was invisible, minus a tackle on a reverse that was run directly into Oakman's path. Cornerback Xavien Howard (#4) couldn't help but playing just a little TOO physical against star WR Kevin White for the referee's taste, getting popped for anywhere between 4 and 6 defensive pass interference calls (I honestly lost count).  As a matter of fact, I really only marked down two players for Baylor who had strong performances: WR Antwan Goodley (#5) and sophomore DT Andrew Billings (#75)

Shifting focus back to Petty, I was equally frustrated by his ball placement skills and his inability to move off of primary reads.  Having watched Petty play extensively both in evaluations last year and his body of work this year, it was no surprise.  I actually included both as my major knocks on him for the mid-season evaluation that I wrote up for the game.  It was again on full display, as throws further down the field were subsequently further off target.  As he pushes the football down the field, he loses the ability to control.  It looked as though throughout the course of Baylor's missed deep shots that his ball trajectory was a bit flat; he has no problem spinning that for distance but he's not quite dialed in on his loft of those 'bucket throws'.  Petty does have great athleticism for a player of his size, he pulled a number of zone read plays and was able to pick up solid yardage against a defensive front seven who put the squeeze on Petty inside the pocket.  Petty's eyes lock onto a down field read excessively, to the point where he has no feel for traffic in front of him or the status of the pocket.  There were plays where he stood against a firestorm of defenders and ate sacks and others where he had a well established pocket but flushed out of it anyway.  He does throw with HEAT when he wants to, he can put balls any where on the field, it's just a question of how does he amend the accuracy issues (if he can).  I haven't been able to pinpoint mechanical flaws that have had a negative impact as he's throwing the ball down the field, so the question begs to be asked "is this just who he is."  I'm trending towards yes.  

As poorly as Petty flashed, I can't honestly say I was disappointed because at this point I knew what he was.  I was, however, notably disappointed in the performance of Levi Norwood.  Norwood flashed at me a number of times in 2013 (notably the Oklahoma and Texas Tech), but didn't look like anywhere near the same caliber of player.  He was smooth but nonexplosive moving around the field.  He struggled to separate.  He dropped an easy pass target.  I know Norwood is still working his way back from a fractured wrist, but this was his 3rd game and 3rd week back in the lineup.  No reason for the conditioning not to be on par, so I'm again a bit at a loss as to what is going on with the player.  I am going to need to go look back at some 2013 cuts to see if his success was more scheme/spacing based than it was on account of his individual talents.  

While I can understand the appeal to many of a player like DE Shawn Oakman, I personally don't see a top selection in waiting.  Oakman spent a large majority of the day on Saturday running himself too deep into the backfield and out of the play or bumping chests with offensive linemen.  Oakman struggles mightily as is with disengaging from blocks on the line of scrimmage.  He has made nice strides in getting his hands involved in the contact, but he still gives no consistency pressing and using his massive length to his advantage.  Oakman's struggles with backfield depth were multiplied due to how gradual his change of direction skills are.  He's an extremely powerful player, but he's not quick twitch or explosive. Oakman looked very much like I had noted over the course of watching him before, linear.  He gets a head of steam built up and from there, he just makes plays with how long his wingspan/strides are to cover a massive area.  I see Oakman as a player who is going to continue to need development.  He showed absolutely nothing on Saturday to suggest otherwise.

Antwan Goodley is someone who I have mixed feelings about as a player.  His ability to create in space and his size make him an attractive option.  But his hands are never anything better than "inconsistent" (he likes to trap balls when he's squared up to the throw but CAN catch away from his body when he needs to) and the Baylor system is doing him zero favors for the upcoming transition into a NFL offense.  Goodley ate and ate often on Saturday but minus his long 63 yard catch and run touchdown, Goodley's work came against off man coverage.  CB Daryl Worley did a very nice job of limiting opportunities for Goodley when on the field.  Goodley's route experience is essentially flys, posts, slants and come backs.  He doesn't show a lot of crisp technique in breaks and doesn't have to sit down suddenly for breaks coming out of a stem.  He has the ability to develop these skills because when you watch him move you see just how natural of an athlete he is.  He has explosive qualities and gets up to top speed in space very quickly.  I liked what I saw Saturday; but think that the extent of his impact early in his career with be tempered due to what he's asked to do in Coach Art Briles' system. 

The real standout for Baylor was sophomore DT Andrew Billings.  Compact, agile, low center of gravity, disruptive...Billings was constantly flashing in the back field and creating penetration/chaos.  Listed at 300 pounds, Billings was nimble, fluid and quick off the snap.  Billings was a Baylor commit in February of 2013, electing to play in Waco over offers from University of Texas, Texas Christian University and others (also notable to mention he was listed as the #18 recruit in the state of Texas that year).  He looked every bit the part of a pro prospect against the Mountaineers and is someone I'm going to be keeping a particular eye out for in the coming months/seasons until his time for a complete evaluation comes. 

Sunday, October 19, 2014

10.18.14 - Baylor at West Virginia (Mountaineers Player Reaction)

As I watched West Virginia first weather the storm on 3 turnovers on their half of the field and yield just 10 points to the then #4 Baylor Bears and then watched in awe as QB Clint Trickett (#9) took over the game down the stretch to secure a 41-27 upset victory at home, I had a bit of an epiphany about what I was watching.

Yes, the Baylor offense was out of sync with their timing all afternoon.  Yes, the official crew at the game seemed intent on handing out 15 yard penalties like it was Halloween.  But this was no fluke of a game.  The West Virginia Mountaineers are a damn good football team.  After watching them be very much game for both Alabama and Oklahoma in their only two losses of the year, I knew that they had WR Kevin White (#11).  He made himself felt again yesterday.  But the amount of legitimate talent the Mountaineers had when watching a full game play out in front of me was startling.  Both Safeties, KJ Dillon (#9) and Karl Joseph (#8) have futures on Sundays.  NT Kyle Rose (#93) is very much undersized to play a 1 Tech in the NFL at 6'4 and 294 pounds, but he's got skills I can with with in a 3 man front.  DE Shaq Riddick (#4) has started to flesh out a lot of the hype that followed him to Morgantown as a JUCO transfer this summer and had his closing burst and speed on full display, as well as impressive power in sacking Bryce Petty on an interior gap rush where he came untouched.  Sophomore CB Daryl Worley (#7) was injured in the 1st half with a rib injury and did not return, but he was impressive in man coverage against WR Antwan Goodley (Goodley's long 60+ yard TD catch and run was his first target with Worley out of the game).

K Josh Lambert over the past several weeks has turned himself into a pop icon at West Virginia and struck again with a long FG as time expired in the first half to buy West Virginia a vital 3 points to extend their lead to 24-20.

The previously mentioned Trickett was impressive in his own right.  Trickett's frame is thin at a listed 186 pounds, something that obviously needs to change once he's set up on an NFL roster.  He's also a bit of a gunslinger, as evidenced by his interception off his back foot to avoid pressure.  No one is going to confuse him with either of the 2 QBs who faced off on ABC last night (Jameis Winston and Everett Golson) with his legs; but he can move just enough to shift the pocket and he in general stays in the pocket and throws staring down the barrel of pressure.  His vertical passing was a joy to watch.  Throws over 20+ distance in the air were cleanly spun and minus a handful of slight under throws he was on target.  His ball trajectory is strong; he can tear drop deep passes or he can fire them on a rope to their target down field.  I saw a player in Trickett who was in complete control of his offense down the stretch and carried the team on his arm to shred Baylor for 2 touchdown drives in the 2nd half to pull away.  His fade to Kevin White to take the lead was his best throw of the day.

Junior Safeties KJ Dillon and Karl Joseph impressed me for separate reasons.  KJ Dillon strikes me as an in the box Safety.  Traditional "Strong Safety" role where he plays robber coverage in the box, roams around and is essentially a 3rd level linebacker.  But the Baylor system forced Dillon to play not just out in space, but to play him in man coverage.  Dillon was caught flat footed several times and bailed out on an overthrow by Bryce Petty in the end zone at one point, but he held his own.  Dillon is a long 6'1 (listed) and was surprisingly good turning and running with the slot receivers from Baylor.  It gave me a bit of a glimpse that he may not necessarily be a liability in that area and defenses may not have to hold him in such a predetermined role.  Karl Joseph, on the other hand, checks off all the boxes.  He was quick to the football and a heavy hitter (most notably filling a 3rd down screen on the far sideline that jarred the receiver out of bounds) and is very active both around the LOS (Alabama/Oklahoma games) and as a deep center fielder.  Joseph spent most of the afternoon 20+ yards deep as a single high safety and displayed the read ability and the speed to suggest he can thrive in either situation.  He's a complete safety and should he declare, I'd expect him to challenge Cody Prewitt for the #2 Safety in the class (assuming Alabama's Landon Collins declares).

What can be said about Kevin White at this point that hasn't already been said?  I noted yesterday that his hands looked like boxing gloves from the press box and he showcased exactly what he can do with them when he threw up one and essentially palmed the football on a fade in one on one coverage while still drawing a DPI call on Xavien Howard (#4).  I saw over 10 teams represented in the press box yesterday (including 2 GMs) and you can bet they were looking at White.  White fits the mold for a player that a majority of those teams could afford to add to their arsenal.  His fever pitch is happening now, over 1,000 yards in 7 games and simply dominating whoever teams cover him with.  Between his naturally soft hands, his ability to attack the football in the air, his high point ability and how strong/fluid he is after the catch, we all know about his receiving skills, but he was just as devastating on the perimeter as a blocker, he gave WVU the edge on several runs for big gains.  A complete player and hands down a 1st RD prospect at the end of the year.

NT Kyle Rose has a heavy set of hands, is fairly flexible and has a nonstop motor.  He was rooted out a few times on the interior but as I mentioned before; his future isn't eating G/C double teams.  He looks like a more fluid version of Taylor Hart out of Oregon last year, a 5 Tech going forward.  Rose really stood out on several plays by resetting the LOS behind the original snap by jolting the Center heavily on first contact.  A guy who can move laterally, hustles relentlessly and has the hands to jolt offensive lineman backwards on contact is a guy you can at least get into a rotation.  Very unheralded player, but a solid niche for him going forward with the amount of depth NFL teams carry on the defensive front.

DE Shaquille Riddick is working against the clock, as he spent 3 seasons at Gardner-Webb before transferring immediately to West Virginia for his senior season.  Some may not realize that when this season is over, so is Riddick's time in Morgantown.  With such a loaded EDGE class, Riddick needs to flash to help his draft profile.  At a listed 6'6 and 242 pounds, he looks the part.  A bit light, but he still looks the part.  And while Riddick started this season slow after being referred to as a 'game changer' by those in the WVU organization in August; 3 sacks against Baylor in a variety of ways will help that profile.  Riddick attacked from 3 and 2 pt stances, he attacked from interior gaps and on the boundary.  His first sack was a great hustle play, coming off the right side of the defensive front and chasing Bryce Petty down from behind as he rolled out of the pocket for a good 20+ yards.  Great closing burst.  His second was an interior gap rush where he was on top of Petty so quickly after the snap that Petty had no chance.  Riddick made it count, he jarred Petty hard enough to draw an "Oooh" out of several of those in attendance in the press box.  I'm hopeful that Riddick will continue to get greater snaps going forward after earning starts the past 3 weeks so we can get an accurate evaluation of what his technical skills are.

Be sure to check back in tomorrow for the prospect reaction from the Baylor side!